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class="postcell post-layout--right"> <div id="9kww009" class="s-prose js-post-body"> <p>個人認為，日本強一些。</p> </div> <div id="0jvrajz" class="mt24 mb12"> <div id="54arrna" class="post-taglist d-flex gs4 gsy fd-column"> <div id="0hdwij9" class="d-flex ps-relative"> </div> </div> </div> <div id="c4vdgrw" class="post-signature owner flex--item"> <div id="pt09a5l" class="user-info "> <div id="qvir9zs" class="user-gravatar32"> <div id="0jw9hsw" class="gravatar-wrapper-32"> <img src="/images/face/658.jpg" alt="" width="32" height="32" class="bar-sm" /> </div> </div> <div id="sva50qb" class="user-details"> <a>上進的原野T1</a> <div id="u0ny0n0" class="-flair"> <span id="fs59l4n" class="reputation-score" title="聲譽分數(shù) ">175</span> </div> </div> </div> <div id="djfyrcj" class="js-new-contributor-indicator ps-relative"> <div id="v0go44a" class="new-contributor-indicator fc-medium py6 px8 bbr-sm"> <span id="uh59rth" class="js-new-contributor-label"> <svg class="svg-icon iconWave" width="18" height="18"> <path d="M10.7 17c-2.3 0-3.9-2.05-5.07-3.54l-.49-.6c-.67-.8-1.59-1.63-2.4-2.36A10.91 10.91 0 011.1 8.87a.79.79 0 01-.09-.56c.04-.19.14-.34.27-.4.14-.07.29-.1.45-.1.35 0 .67.18.87.34l3.5 2.75c.04.03.1.03.13 0a.09.09 0 00.02-.13l-.02-.02c-.57-.8-3.42-4.77-3.71-5.15-.21-.27-.3-.58-.24-.84.05-.2.2-.37.4-.48.18-.09.35-.13.52-.13.44 0 .76.28.96.51l3.6 4.42c.04.04.07.06.14.02.05-.02.06-.07.03-.12L4.41 2.96a.94.94 0 01-.1-.73.92.92 0 0 1 .47-.57 1.06 1.06 0 0 1 1.4.39l3.8 6.14c.03.04.07.07.14.04.04-.03.06-.07.04-.13A153.8 153.8 0 008.1 2.54c-.31-.68-.2-1.14.36-1.42.52-.27 1.14-.07 1.47.48l3.69 8.3c.02.04.05.05.1.06a.1.1 0 00.09-.07l.66-2.28c.1-.3.31-.56.62-.72.3-.15.65-.18.98-.1.7.2 1.09.87.89 1.52-.1.37-.46 1.73-.99 3.43l-.1.33c-.58 1.86-1.03 3.33-3.11 4.4-.7.35-1.38.53-2.05.53z" fill="#FFC166"></path> <path d="M14 .37a.5.5 0 00-.88.45l1.96 3.9a.5.5 0 00.9-.45L14 .37zm-1.17 2.17a.5.5 0 00-.91.42l.84 1.87a.5.5 0 10.91-.41l-.84-1.88zm-10.6 9.74a.5.5 0 01.7-.02l1.7 1.6a.5.5 0 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<p>同樣在1985年同美國簽署的馬克升值的廣場協(xié)議的德國，與日本相比在達到1996年的經(jīng)濟高點后卻是走向了不同的發(fā)展道路。日本在此后的20年里一直陷在了GDP5萬億美元的魔咒里無非走出來，也就是日本失落的20年。而德國卻是在1995年的2.5萬億美元的基礎上，在這二十年經(jīng)濟增長到了4萬億美元的水平，GDP增長了60%，年增長率雖然只是2.5%，但這也是資本主義發(fā)展史上發(fā)達國家經(jīng)濟增長率的平均水平。</p><p>在這廣場協(xié)議之后的二十多年里，日本和德國的比拼中，顯然是德國完勝！<br/><br/><span style="font-weight: bold;">但是，拖累日本和德國的一個共同的問題就是人口老齡化的問題。</span></p><p>日本的人口老齡化目前已經(jīng)達到了25%，到2040年還會達到35%以上，人口數(shù)量更是預測到本世紀末從現(xiàn)在的1.26億降到8000多萬。這是拖累日本最核心的問題，而且是一個無解！</p><p>同樣，德國的老齡化也是十分嚴重，排在了日本、意大利之后，65歲以上的老年人口也是超過了20%，進入了嚴重老齡化的行列。但二者的比較中，日本更加嚴重且風險也是更大。</p><p><span style="font-weight: bold;">另外，德國還有一個制約因素卻比日本嚴重。</span></p><blockquote class="imghidden"><p>德國是歐盟的發(fā)動機，更是歐盟的輸血機器。整個歐盟在債務危機中無法自拔，歐豬五國享受著高福利，卻讓主要經(jīng)濟國的德國等來買單，英國的脫歐讓這個沉重的擔子壓到了德國的頭上。德國未來一定不是被自己擊垮，而是被歐盟拖垮。</p><p><span style="font-weight: bold;">日本卻是在人口流失中，經(jīng)濟也是一蹶不振。</span></p><p>在這個煎熬的時刻，政府卻是永遠耐不住性子，那只閑不住的手不斷地釋放一次次的流動性，日本早已債臺高筑�，F(xiàn)在甚至不惜采用零利率或負利率來維持貨幣的流動性，可是經(jīng)濟和物價卻不見好轉(zhuǎn)，反而進入了“流動性陷阱”中無法自拔。</p><p><span style="font-weight: bold;">德國從2019年第三季度出現(xiàn)低增長以來，到了第四季度更是出現(xiàn)了經(jīng)濟負增長。這是幾十年里都沒有見到的現(xiàn)象，這也是德國被逐步拖垮的前奏。未來德國的經(jīng)濟也會在老齡化和歐盟的拖累下走向經(jīng)濟的低谷。而日本早已經(jīng)在低谷中等候�？扇绻欢ㄒ谌毡竞偷聡羞x擇一個經(jīng)濟競爭力相對強的國家，那筆者還是認為德國更具發(fā)展的潛力</span>。</p></p></blockquote></div> <div id="ks45ing" class="mt24"> <div id="nicnqb4" class="user-info "> <div id="ry4efzv" class="user-gravatar32"> <img src="/images/face/529.jpg" alt="" width="32" height="32" class="bar-sm" /> </div> <div id="4iokjlj" class="user-details"> <a>海妮兒</a> <div id="9qk4kgk" class="-flair"> <span id="4ao5ok9" class="reputation-score">328贊</span> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div id="9dl9xbd" class="answer"> <div id="qgkmpsv" class="post-layout"> <div id="vuhr9w9" class="votecell post-layout--left"> <div id="4dtq4le" class="js-voting-container d-flex jc-center fd-column ai-stretch gs4 fc-black-200"> <button class="js-vote-up-btn flex--item s-btn s-btn__unset c-pointer "> <svg class="svg-icon iconArrowUpLg" width="36" height="36"> <path d="M2 26h32L18 10 2 26z"></path> </svg> </button> <div id="mj4vxzm" class="js-vote-count flex--item d-flex fd-column ai-center fc-black-500 fs-title">4</div> <button class="js-vote-down-btn flex--item s-btn s-btn__unset c-pointer "> <svg class="svg-icon iconArrowDownLg" width="36" height="36"> <path d="M2 10h32L18 26 2 10z"></path> </svg> </button> </div> </div> <div id="lzvracp" class="answercell post-layout--right"> <div id="kjjkeyb" class="s-prose js-post-body"> <p>我看還是德國吧，</p></div> <div id="krlhqjr" class="mt24"> <div id="l9r9bfk" class="user-info "> <div id="xv9gyk4" class="user-gravatar32"> <img src="/images/face/815.jpg" alt="" width="32" height="32" class="bar-sm" /> </div> <div id="hojxxif" class="user-details"> <a>你不來時我不孤</a> <div id="zg0ac9a" class="-flair"> <span id="zguwqk9" class="reputation-score">383贊</span> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div id="5ol4lym" class="answer"> <div id="tsg8re4" class="post-layout"> <div 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<p><strong>日本更加發(fā)達，當然日本也更加有潛力！</strong></p><h1>首先，中華文化圈</h1><p>日本地處東亞，是中華文化圈中的一員，從古至今，一直深受中華文化的影響。當然，日本人屬于比較聰明的民族，他們傳統(tǒng)上吸收了中國文化的優(yōu)點，而在近現(xiàn)代，又大量吸取了西方的經(jīng)驗。</p><p><br/></p><p>就這樣，東西方結(jié)合的日本可以說具有了兩者共同的優(yōu)點。東方文化圈的隱忍、堅韌、勤奮等特征，是日本人職業(yè)人的典型特征。正是得益于這種特征，使得日本在戰(zhàn)后迅速崛起。而對西方文明的吸收，令日本人的知識和技術(shù)迅速發(fā)展，特別是近代中，日本對外來科技的利用，在國內(nèi)幾乎沒有任何阻力。絕非像大清王朝一樣困難重重。</p><p><br/></p><blockquote class="imghidden"><h1>其次，日本重視教育和科技</h1><p>對于日本，我們經(jīng)常能想到的就是日本的衰落。其實不然，日本依舊具有強大的科技力量。從數(shù)十年前開始執(zhí)行的計劃，使得日本現(xiàn)在幾乎每年都要在科學領(lǐng)域產(chǎn)出一到多名諾貝爾獎。這就是日本重視教育和科技的明證。</p><p>日本的教師不僅待遇高，而且社會地位遠超中國同行。在教育方面，也不會總是以折騰教師為樂。</p><p><br/></p><h1>最后，從民族特性上看</h1><p>日本是一個單一的民族。在歷史上，日本社會也出現(xiàn)了為數(shù)不少的黑人，但是為了國之大計，日本政府采取了極為果斷的手段將之解決，使得現(xiàn)在日本完全不存在種族和宗教的問題。但是如今的德國，因為大量吸收了來自中東的難民，社會正處于嚴重動蕩的前夕。大量的暴恐事件，正在成為德國的常態(tài)。德國中東化的情況越來越明顯，這都使得德國未來蒙上了陰影。</p><p><br/></p><p><strong>所以，無論從何種方面看，德國都遠遠落后日本。</strong></p></p></blockquote></div> <div id="5m05vae" class="mt24"> <div id="b5nphrx" class="user-info 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<path d="M2 10h32L18 26 2 10z"></path> </svg> </button> </div> </div> <div id="dlgctn5" class="answercell post-layout--right"> <div id="wws8pty" class="s-prose js-post-body"> <p>德國因為德國工匠精神強，創(chuàng)新情神強。日本只會玩小聰明</p></div> <div id="j0wwzzn" class="mt24"> <div id="ou5fcei" class="user-info "> <div id="aapzzm9" class="user-gravatar32"> <img src="/images/face/624.jpg" alt="" width="32" height="32" class="bar-sm" /> </div> <div id="z49dux4" class="user-details"> <a>故鄉(xiāng)的山Satk</a> <div id="tcglpum" class="-flair"> <span id="4boqcva" class="reputation-score">197贊</span> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div id="90itfhm" class="answer"> <div id="j4hakyl" class="post-layout"> <div id="qf5l94g" class="votecell post-layout--left"> <div id="cbojl9r" class="js-voting-container d-flex jc-center fd-column ai-stretch gs4 fc-black-200"> <button class="js-vote-up-btn flex--item s-btn s-btn__unset c-pointer "> <svg class="svg-icon iconArrowUpLg" width="36" height="36"> <path d="M2 26h32L18 10 2 26z"></path> </svg> </button> <div id="0d0o4ee" class="js-vote-count flex--item d-flex fd-column ai-center fc-black-500 fs-title">7</div> <button class="js-vote-down-btn flex--item s-btn s-btn__unset c-pointer "> <svg class="svg-icon iconArrowDownLg" width="36" height="36"> <path d="M2 10h32L18 26 2 10z"></path> </svg> </button> </div> </div> <div id="y5ny45v" class="answercell post-layout--right"> <div id="s5lz4gy" class="s-prose js-post-body"> <p>1995年之前日本更發(fā)達，2005年日德旗鼓相當，2015開始德國更發(fā)達；至于發(fā)展?jié)摿茈y說，取決于日本德國和中國的關(guān)系，誰能及時融入中國一帶一路（亞歐非-陸權(quán)貿(mào)易取代美國海權(quán)貿(mào)易）戰(zhàn)略誰的發(fā)展?jié)摿驮酱蟆?/p></div> <div id="sz59wzd" class="mt24"> <div id="kyfw445" class="user-info "> <div id="0af8ulg" class="user-gravatar32"> <img src="/images/face/675.jpg" alt="" width="32" height="32" class="bar-sm" /> </div> <div id="y4icl4g" class="user-details"> <a>定速巡航2</a> <div id="xo55pzv" class="-flair"> <span id="pplwysf" class="reputation-score">367贊</span> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div id="h55b4kh" class="answer"> <div id="tdpxueo" class="post-layout"> <div id="vv504sa" class="votecell post-layout--left"> <div id="xgumfln" class="js-voting-container d-flex jc-center fd-column ai-stretch gs4 fc-black-200"> <button class="js-vote-up-btn flex--item s-btn s-btn__unset c-pointer "> <svg class="svg-icon iconArrowUpLg" width="36" height="36"> <path d="M2 26h32L18 10 2 26z"></path> </svg> </button> <div id="fg0lexz" class="js-vote-count flex--item d-flex fd-column ai-center fc-black-500 fs-title">8</div> <button class="js-vote-down-btn flex--item s-btn s-btn__unset c-pointer "> <svg class="svg-icon iconArrowDownLg" width="36" height="36"> <path d="M2 10h32L18 26 2 10z"></path> </svg> </button> </div> </div> <div id="vsgs5yh" class="answercell post-layout--right"> <div id="v0tkyjc" class="s-prose js-post-body"> <p>德國日本在制造業(yè)方向上有很大不同。德國趨向于成套設備為主，而日本強項在于零部件生產(chǎn)。</p><p>搞工業(yè)的人都知道，購買高端設備幾乎全部來自德國或者歐洲幾個國家，其實美國僅存的高端制造業(yè)使用的設備多數(shù)也是來自德國，包括日本許多設備也是德國制造。日本在零部件加工方面做的比較精細，但在整合技術(shù)，跨學科技術(shù)橫向發(fā)展方面日本做的非常不好，所以常常有人說日本是一流的零部件加工和裝配技術(shù)，只能生產(chǎn)二流的產(chǎn)品。這跟民族特性有很大關(guān)系，德國處于工業(yè)革命發(fā)源地位置，對制造業(yè)的理解比較深刻，而后期的美國前蘇聯(lián)包括日本在制造業(yè)方面都有某一方面不足�？傊�，日本制造業(yè)已無前途，德國制造業(yè)還是比較強大。</p><p>日本制造業(yè)逐漸退化了，靠服務業(yè)去讓一億國民保持在四萬美元收入是很難辦到，所以我們看到日本人均GDP已經(jīng)多年無增長。而德國靠高端設備出口還能維持國民生活水平整體提高。</p></div> <div id="xms45wg" class="mt24"> <div id="0lpacnb" class="user-info "> <div id="xxul9bo" class="user-gravatar32"> <img src="/images/face/806.jpg" alt="" width="32" height="32" class="bar-sm" /> </div> <div id="q94ex0q" class="user-details"> <a>一心一意風鈴yV</a> <div id="ff0s5i4" class="-flair"> <span id="ggcu55i" class="reputation-score">410贊</span> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div id="p9k9g05" class="answer"> <div id="4up9fgi" class="post-layout"> <div id="ssoik4c" class="votecell post-layout--left"> <div id="ttxxpxl" class="js-voting-container d-flex jc-center fd-column ai-stretch gs4 fc-black-200"> <button class="js-vote-up-btn flex--item s-btn s-btn__unset c-pointer "> <svg class="svg-icon iconArrowUpLg" width="36" height="36"> <path d="M2 26h32L18 10 2 26z"></path> </svg> </button> <div id="4kghdgl" class="js-vote-count flex--item d-flex fd-column ai-center fc-black-500 fs-title">9</div> <button class="js-vote-down-btn flex--item s-btn s-btn__unset c-pointer "> <svg class="svg-icon iconArrowDownLg" width="36" height="36"> <path d="M2 10h32L18 26 2 10z"></path> </svg> </button> </div> </div> <div id="saoodoh" class="answercell post-layout--right"> <div id="c5q9bmj" class="s-prose js-post-body"> <p>德國，跟，日本，個人感覺，東亞人，日本人，更有潛力，這是不爭的，趨勢，個人，認為！�。。。。。。。�</p></div> <div id="sjddilv" class="mt24"> <div id="yydvm45" class="user-info "> <div id="dbo4exr" class="user-gravatar32"> <img src="/images/face/600.jpg" alt="" width="32" height="32" class="bar-sm" /> </div> <div 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